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The bottomline the climate is changing....one should not just look at the short term "snapshot" but an extended record to understand what the changes are. So, whether it is man-made, nature, a cycle or combination of all those variables there needs to be adjustments to better understand any effects of water supplies, food/farming, use of energy, weather/climate and the future development of other countries. The worst one can do is say,"stay the course...." more so to debate it, make theories, have opinions but the fact is: climate change will effect our lives.A few years ago no one know of or understood the impact of the hole in ozone layer , but no one doubts that now. Mankind is part our worldwide ecosystem and with that we play a factor in the climate. It is a complex global world with more demands on resources and more stresses on the ecology.
 
By the time Global Warming becomes the problem it is going to be...Yeah, and the sky is falling too. 30 years ago, overpopulation was going to end mankind. 10-15 years ago, we were headed for an ice age. Today it's global warming or the end of the Mayan Calendar that's going to do us in. Others believe Christ is going to return and bring about the end, and still others that it will be al-Masīḥ (Arabic for "annoited one" - also Jesus actually). I have a friend who has been waiting for the world to blow up for 35 years.

I'll believe it when I see it."Scientists now believe..." Media hype and a way to keep the grants coming in. Follow the money and you'll never be far off.
 
human beings give themselves way too much credit/blame as the case may be, most every time.It's called human arrogance. hehehe Despite the slow decline in formalized religion, we still seem to need to place ourselves at the center of the Universe somehow. Personally, I doubt our species is all that significant.
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In ancient Greece, the greatest of all sins was Hubris (challenging the Gods or their laws due to pride), and that was the sin that condemned one to Tartarus (the section of the Underworld most resembling modern visions of ****). It also offended Moria (precursor of the Moirae), usually resulting in her dispatching The Furies to hound one to the ends of the earth.
 
Posted By lownote on 14 Dec 2009 05:35 AM
After all, it's only our children's future we have to consider--no need to take that seriously.




because i consider my childrens future, i would like some more CO² in the air and the climate a bit warmer.

having worked in ranching, agri- and silviculture most of my life, i came to understand that plants thrive on CO².
(one can damage plants in a greenhouse severly, if one does not allow new - CO² carrying - air into it.)
as to warmth - in warmer years the plants (other factors not changing) grow stronger, can take up more minerals from earth, and more CO² from the air, than in colder years.
(i. e. they produce more without more chemical fertilizer)

you being a scholar, you should know about the medeival climate optimum (around of our LOrd's year 1000). that must have been 8 to 10 degrees celsius warmer than today. (judgeing by the plant distribution)
when we will see wine plantations in newfoundland, trees in greenland, and so on, then we get to the (known) optimum.
maybe, that above that some problems might occur. - but if that will be the case, i doubt, that we can foresee these problems now (we can't even foresee the local weather for more than a week)

if humanity is a relevant factor to climate-change, i allways ask myself, what did the crusaders and vikings do, to cause such high temperatures?
 
Posted By kormsen on 14 Dec 2009 06:19 AM
Posted By lownote on 14 Dec 2009 05:35 AM
After all, it's only our children's future we have to consider--no need to take that seriously.




because i consider my childrens future, i would like some more CO² in the air and the climate a bit warmer.

having worked in ranching, agri- and silviculture most of my life, i came to understand that plants thrive on CO².
(one can damage plants in a greenhouse severly, if one does not allow new - CO² carrying - air into it.)
as to warmth - in warmer years the plants (other factors not changing) grow stronger, can take up more minerals from earth, and more CO² from the air, than in colder years.
(i. e. they produce more without more chemical fertilizer)

you being a scholar, you should know about the medeival climate optimum (around of our LOrd's year 1000). that must have been 8 to 10 degrees celsius warmer than today. (judgeing by the plant distribution)
when we will see wine plantations in newfoundland, trees in greenland, and so on, then we get to the (known) optimum.
maybe, that above that some problems might occur. - but if that will be the case, i doubt, that we can foresee these problems now (we can't even foresee the local weather for more than a week)

if humanity is a relevant factor to climate-change, i allways ask myself, what did the crusaders and vikings do, to cause such high temperatures?

GENERAL ARTICLE
CURRENT SCIENCE, VOL. 90, NO. 12, 25 JUNE 2006 1609

Be careful what you wish for.....The effects
of carbon dioxide are a reduction in the pH value of
blood serum leading to acidosis4. The minimum effects of
acidosis are restlessness and mild hypertension. As the
degree of acidosis increases, somnolence and confusion
follow. One of the effects of these changes is a reduced
desire to indulge in physical activity. Other metabolic effects
of acidosis have been reviewed and shown to be extensive6.
Embryonic or foetal abnormalities are also possible
as the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide affects maternal
metabolisms in succeeding generations.



I really do not think you want more CO2 in the air:
Primate susceptibility to high levels of carbon dioxide
in the atmosphere is supported by the geological–palaeontological
record. During the Eocene epoch, the temperature
of the earth was much higher than at present, while
the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere was
about the same as that at present. The fossil record shows
that during the Lutetian and Bartonian ages of the Eocene
epoch, primates were abundant on the Eurasian continent.
The geological record shows that by the Priabonian age
of the Eocene epoch (27 million years BP), the carbon dioxide
content of the atmosphere had risen to three times
that of the present day4. The fossil record then shows that
virtually all the primates of the Eurasian continent had
disappeared. Although it is accepted that these events
predate the existence of humans, some primates alive today
can be shown to be direct linear descendants of those
involved, such as the lemurs. It is a reasonable conclusion
from these observations that primates can survive in hot
climates, but are unable to endure high levels of carbon
dioxide in the atmosphere.


Reference article


http://www.ias.ac.in/currsci/jun252006/1607.pdf


The "art" of science might not be perfect but it is better than the "witch hunts" and certainly more reliable than the Medieval reference. In closing, though we all romanticize the "industrial age" and in particular our hobby of trains I am not sure we would enjoy the atmosphere that surrounded the daily lives. The effectiveness of workers would probably mirror the above articles reference to work output:
The health effects of low-level carbon dioxide poisoning are likely to
be first observed in the results of athletic events, where maintenance of present performance records becomes difficult and the establishment of improved performance records never occur. It is possible that the performance of some athletes in the 2003 World Games already shows
the predicted effects.
 
No one denies that global climate has changed dramatically in the past, and that the process of global climate change has taken place on its own in the past without any impact from human being. No one denies that. The point is that the climate data overwhelmingly points to a much much much more rapid increase in temperature over the last 100 years than has ever been seen before.


Could just be pure coincidence. Or it could be the massive consumption of fossil fuels and the addition of billions of tons of carbon dioxide into the air. I mean, suppose you walk into a room, and find one man dead on the floor with a bullet wound to the head, and another man standing there with a gun in his hand. Could just be a coincidence. People have died of bullet wounds in the past, long before the guy wth the gun was even born. It might be just a coincidence. I'm perfectly willing to admit that there's a slight possbility the science is wrong. Scientist might be worng about, say, the nature of electircity. I'm just not willing to bet on it.


Next step: deny the scientific evidence, at which point we have nothing further to discuss. Science is far from perfect; scientists are often wrong. But not as often as people who just make stuff up because they want to believe it's true
 
Well there's the overwhelming preponderance of scientific evidence out there.Debatable, and far from settled. There's an equal volume of evidence demonstrating the whole thing is a fraud. Science is not driven by "consensus" but by peer review and repeatability. Rather hard to verify repeatability when one throws away the original data and keeps only the rigged results. But there's no reason to let that get in the way of strongly held personal beliefs, is there? Bingo! Right back atcha. The point is that the climate data overwhelmingly points to a much much much more rapid increase in temperature over the last 100 years than has ever been seen before.What about the last decade where things have cooled rather than warmed (another FACT which the UEA tried to bury)?

Anyway, I'm going to leave this discussion now before it gets too personal or political. Do some real research, look at the FACTS on both sides of the argument, and make up your own minds. And as I said before, follow the money!
 
i ignore how it is in north america, but for europe there is a significant correlation between a scientists employment and his stance towards global warming.
most global-warming "believers" are employed by the goverments in one form or other. (glorious exception -> finland! there exist globalwarming sceptics, who are employed by the state)

as far as i know, we are presencing the second go to tax the air people are breathing.
(first go was in the netherlands long ago, where the number of windows a house had towards the street was taxed. since then the people over there got used to houses with very narrow housefronts)

as long, as the whole religion of global warming is based on mainly one research on less than three dozen trees, that led to the infamous "hockey-bat" grafic, that movement is not science.
this research was published without any peer to peer control.
aparently it took years, before the raw data was released.
the computed period was restricted to the last 150 years (beginning with one of the coldest years recorded)
as far, as i know in the computer programs that predict "disaster" the influence of water in the atmosphere was excluded or not taken in at its real magnitude (300 times bigger, than CO²)

talking about "strongly held personal beliefs" - my strongly held personal belief is, that at best the base for the whole warming-danger is sloppy research.
at worst it is intentional fraude, to divert public atention from inept goverments and criminal banksters.
 
Posted By Dwight Ennis on 14 Dec 2009 07:20 AM

Debatable, and far from settled. There's an equal volume of evidence demonstrating the whole thing is a fraud. Science is not driven by "consensus" but by peer review and repeatability. Rather hard to verify repeatability when one throws away the original data and keeps only the rigged results.What about the last decade where things have cooled rather than warmed (another FACT which the UEA tried to bury)?






ALL scientific debates are, by nature, "debatable." There is almost never 100% agreement in anything human beings do. That they are debatable doesn't change the weight of evidence. Yes, science is driven by peer review and repeatability, and yes, the overwhelming evidence--on the basis of peer-reviewed, repeatable findings--is that the speed of global warming has quickened dramatically. That things cool in a given decade, even if that is the case, does not change the overall trend. The UEA emails reveal that scientists are just like the rest of us in their tendency towards bias, but they don't really change the overall conclusion about global warming, unless you didn't believe that it was happening in the first place.
 
Then why is it that all the base-line data isn't open for examination? And the only way to even limited access to any part of it is to steal it.

Personally, I believe if the push keeps going on, then it will wind up causing another world war and at that point "Global Warming" now re-branded as "Climate Change" will be the least of our worries.
 
Posted By Scottychaos on 13 Dec 2009 03:44 PM
Posted By Totalwrecker on 12 Dec 2009 11:08 AM
It's too cold to snow! Brrr! Gotta be around 32.
Must be some fresh water flowing into that bay.

At first I thought you were talking Oakland Ca.!!!

Check your pond fittings after it thaws, might be some cracks...

John




John,
I cant tell if you are serious or joking! ;)
(your profile doesnt say where you live)
but 32 degrees is when it *starts* to snow! ;)
when people say "its too cold to snow" they usually mean things like zero to 10 degrees F..or below zero.

(and "too cold to snow" is generally an urban legend anyway..it can snow at zero degrees F)


32 degrees is WARM when it comes to snow!

very warm..about as warm as you can get actually! ;)


Scot

--------------------------------------------------------------

Scot,
I thought I was being serious...
Where I live today doesn't mean much 'cause I was a navy brat... I walked the proverbial 6 miles to school through Maine winters...
But I do know that it can be too cold when the air gets freeze dried... saw that in Antartica, mountains that were 40 miles away looked 35 miles closer because the air was moisture free....

FYI; Vail AZ, 20 miles SE of Tucson; 30 degrees overnite and up to 76 during the day! Heater at night and windows open in the afternoon! That was Saturday.

RE; Global Warming; we live on a living planet, we go through cycles.
I'd be gratified if we could just clean up the polution and put an end to acid rain....

John
 
The immediate problem as I see it, is weather man is responsible to any degree, or not, for climate change, does NOT matter to those who believe it is so. They are on a course of action that WILL make energy so EXPENSIVE that the average income earning household will be reduced to choosing between energy and health care, or maybe neither? There is going to be CHANGE alright, energy for your house WILL be up by 25% or more, when you consider the TAX dollars that will be pumped into these energy sources to make them a profitable venture, for a politically connected few. Fuel for transportation, after they shut down most of the domestic sources (Alaskan Pipeline for starters) will at best be sufficiently available at a price 4 or 5 times higher then the past peak prices, to those who can afford it, which won't be many! or at worst will only be a part of "remember when you could buy gas everywhere and drive all the way to...." And the folks who are using horse and buggy for transportation, windmills to pump water etc will be laughing their asses off at the rest of us..
The current economic conditions will not improve if we continue down this course. We need to fix the economy FIRST. With 18% of the work force out of work, a little over 10% collecting unemployment, (which is temporary, and will end at some time) there is almost 1/5 of the US work force with NO INCOME soon, and another estimated 10% to 20% earning 25% to 50% less then they were. You add in inflation due to the devalued dollar that will cut your spending anther few % points.
Sorry but climate change is not even a "blip on the radar"
 
Discussion starter · #38 ·
I hadn't planned to start a Global Warming Thread when I wrote about Oakland Bay freezing. There has been a lot of freezing on Hood Canal also. Apparently the locals say this has not happened in many years.

Oakland bay has completely thawed this morning as the temperature for the past 24 hours has been just at 32 or slightly above.

I do think there is warming going on. However, I am not convinced that it is man made warming. The earth goes through cycles. 10 years or even 100 years is just a drop in the bucket in geological time. It is far too short a period to even prove that a trend is occuring.

John
 
Posted By JEFF RUNGE on 14 Dec 2009 12:09 PM
The immediate problem as I see it, is weather man is responsible to any degree, or not, for climate change, does NOT matter to those who believe it is so. They are on a course of action that WILL make energy so EXPENSIVE that the average income earning household will be reduced to choosing between energy and health care, or maybe neither? There is going to be CHANGE alright, energy for your house WILL be up by 25% or more, when you consider the TAX dollars that will be pumped into these energy sources to make them a profitable venture, for a politically connected few. Fuel for transportation, after they shut down most of the domestic sources (Alaskan Pipeline for starters) will at best be sufficiently available at a price 4 or 5 times higher then the past peak prices, to those who can afford it, which won't be many! or at worst will only be a part of "remember when you could buy gas everywhere and drive all the way to...." And the folks who are using horse and buggy for transportation, windmills to pump water etc will be laughing their asses off at the rest of us..
The current economic conditions will not improve if we continue down this course. We need to fix the economy FIRST. With 18% of the work force out of work, a little over 10% collecting unemployment, (which is temporary, and will end at some time) there is almost 1/5 of the US work force with NO INCOME soon, and another estimated 10% to 20% earning 25% to 50% less then they were. You add in inflation due to the devalued dollar that will cut your spending anther few % points.
Sorry but climate change is not even a "blip on the radar"
Jeff
No more hobbies....unless one runs their locomotives on COAL!! BTW- coal might become the one resource that is the wild card in all of this: damn if we do and damn if we don't (coal powered cars, I think BMW did a version a while back). Maybe a bike business might be something to invest in, just think about it- China (once bikes were a major mode of transport) buying lots of cars and the US headed in the opposite direction by your scenario- biking to and from. I hope that the economy will right itself soon but like the climate it is cyclical requiring time...but your are correct- fix economy first (as the saying goes...it's the economy, stupid), take care of the problems at home then save the world.
 
Its hard to hear the "Against" side of the global warming issue when so much of the wacko media has fallen in line "For" this issue. Finally, scientist on the "Against" side are not feeling as threatened to speak out about what a hoax this really is.
 
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